This blog is geared towards improving my trading knowledge and recording my trades. I am not licensed to give financial advice. Trade at your own risk. It is your fault for losing in this money game.
Monday, December 27, 2010
my current trades are looking ok or better. this santa claus rally might help me hit a few targets.
Wednesday, December 22, 2010
Today my LNN trade finally hit its stop for an 11.8% loss. the reward was 29.6% so in the long run this would be a good ratio, if u can afford the potential loss. one day when im limiting my portfolio with position sizing this might be something i would skip.
Today the market barely went up. I didnt try to enter anything new. Overall my portfolio is looking good. With LNN gone, nothing else looks like crap.
Monday, December 20, 2010
KBH, AMZN, VLO long entries
I bought another 9700 shares of GRYE at 2 cents each, now ill just wait for a spike. it was funny though cuz my little trade alone pushed the stock price up 11.11% that day. the small positive bar on the chart for that day was because of me.
I exited MCP for a nice gain but got stopped out of KH for a nice loss as well.
I entered STZ for a long entry
Im thinking about focusing more on SP500 stocks instead of broad market since i follow the SP500 futures chart.
**I have to accept the fact that there will be situations where i ignore an indicator, such as:
-ignoring oversold stock stochastics during a strong market trend and instead just having faith in the strong EMA's for direction
-Ignoring EMA's during no market trend and just having faith in oversold stock stochastics for direction
Tuesday, December 14, 2010
BCS, CSKW long entries
dull day, most of my portfolio is down. GRYE was flirting with my 0.015 limit order but popped back up again. As of today my long liquidation of FCX, FO, MCK and SNDK all have hit their targets.
Monday, December 13, 2010
SNCR and LNN long entries
Ill see how well these two trades do compared to the others. Maybe this is a big breakthrough for me. Im currently holding 9 long trades. i think that used to be a record for me earlier this year, after i started printing out charts to research while at work. awesome, im not printing out any charts anymore. scanning through the largest percentage movers of the day seems to do most of the work for me.
Wednesday, December 8, 2010
LOJN long entry
Market didnt move much but many stocks did. My current stocks did kinda bad today. I just wanted to get into one more trade for now, bringing me to 7 total. Im 100% long right now.
I am going to take my pretty, pretty girlfriend to an Andrea Bocelli concert tonight. THen i will feed her food. She deserves more than i can give her.
Tuesday, December 7, 2010
CVBF long entry and 2 exits
Monday, December 6, 2010
Long entries
Thursday, December 2, 2010
Much happened in last 2 weeks
Going heavily short after a supposed break was probably a mistake for me, i should have known that it could easily go sideways instead of further down. Turns out it went sideways.
After over a week of sideways movement, i went ahead and exited AH, CBK, CPWM and CRM since they were struggling to move to their targets and i kept FL(long) and NM(short) since they were moving very well.
Recently i entered KH, RIMM and CTRP but then i soon dropped RIMM cuz i realized i skipped over the fact that it had its weekly 200 just in front of it for resistance. Today im holding CTRP, FL, KH,NM and trying to still get into SRI(long) after missing its entry yesterday but im thinking it will leave me behind since the market is starting to push up.
Im thinking i could be long and short when the market is sideways, but just trade with the market when its in a solid trend. I just need to make sure i have patience before calling a solid trend......when in doubt, i will go both ways.
Before the close today i tried to enter into two more long trades, CEDC and ZEUS, but my orders werent making it through.....some kind of "internet or server problem", i blame it on TOS cuz the internet is working great for me. I will try to get into them tomorrow with limit orders and if not i think i would keep track of them as if i entered. Looks like the marke is going to continue its uptrend. Currently holding FL, KH longs and CTRP,NM shorts. Looking for late entries in CEDC, ZEUS and SRI.
Friday, November 19, 2010
GSIC short entry
Better odds might lay with just looking for a solid already going trend somewhere else... The trades i exited recently because of the supposed break have turned up a little so ill watch those to see how they do. Maybe next time i wont jump out so early.
Tuesday, November 16, 2010
NM short entry
Several others caught my eye why flipping through the most actives. SPU and JHI looked great but werent available to short cuz they are cheap pieces of crap but thats ok. It happens often with cheaper stocks. Since i was still trying to ride the uptrend as of yesterday, i missed a really nice looking short entry in CHNG but its ok, ill just watch it and see how it does.
Exited FCX, FO, MCK and SNDK since the market appeared to be breaking down. A couple had biggish losses but their rewards were just as big or bigger, so thats ok. Today has been about saying "its ok...".
Now i want to see how i do through this supposed trend change. It would be really nice if it turns down and i continue to do well.
Monday, November 15, 2010
FO entry
I exited HAR for a nice 10% gain. I stayed in it watching it struggle for an extra 1% over the past few days while the market sold off a little, testament to the strength it had i guess.
Overall my trades are hanging in there and half are showing relatively more strength than the market which is good since they are longs. Maybe later on i will try to cut loose the ones that appear to be just as weak as the market, not sure yet...Relative strenght is something i dont really use yet. hmmmm....
Socialistic/communistic fun
He said " “Don’t spend all your year-end bonuses, invest in the bourse, and the state will guarantee your money with good yields.” Sounds promising. He also just kicked out a bunch of people from their apartment,making them stand in the street cuz the government "needs to use their building". The people in the pictures look sooo happy too.
article:
Chavez Creates `Socialist' Bond Market in Venezuela, Promising High Yields
By Daniel Cancel and Charlie Devereux -
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Nov 15, 2010 9:47 AM CT
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Venezuelan President Hugo Chavez said he is creating a “socialist” state-run Public Bond Market that will offer local investors high yields to stimulate saving and allow nationalized companies to seek financing.
The Public Bond Market, which will begin operations in December, will allow state-run companies to sell debt to finance operations and individuals to seek investment opportunities, Chavez said.
Chavez tightened his grip on the financial industry this year by closing more than a dozen banks and 40 brokerages that he said committed “fraud” and set artificial exchange rates. He said investors will have their investments guaranteed by the state. Caracas’s private stock exchange has seen trading plummet since 2007 after the nationalization of companies including Cemex SAB and Cia Anonima Nacional Telefonos de Venezuela, known as CANTV.
“The banking and brokerage crisis has allowed us to draft this law,” Chavez said yesterday on state television during his Alo Presidente program. “Don’t spend all your year-end bonuses, invest in the bourse, and the state will guarantee your money with good yields.”
Yields Rise
The government’s average dollar-bond yield rose 20 basis points, or 0.2 percentage point, to 13.23 percent on Nov. 12, according to JPMorgan Chase & Co. indexes.
A draft of the bill that was approved in the National Assembly said that in addition to state companies, joint ventures, community councils and private companies will be authorized to sell debt.
Chavez plans to use the new bourse as a way to finance government enterprises, said Alejandro Grisanti, Latin America analyst for Barclays Capital. The weak financial condition of many of Venezuela’s state-owned companies will give little incentive for investors to participate in the bond market, he said.
“In my opinion there is no way that a private investor will go there,” he said in a telephone interview from New York.
The Securities Regulator authorized state oil company Petroleos de Venezuela SA to sell $3 billion of bonds due in 2017. The bonds were sold Oct. 25 and will be traded in the secondary market through the Public Bond Market, according to a statement.
CANTV, the state-run telecommunications company, will be able to sell shares to local investors through the market, Chavez said.
The government has assigned a headquarters for the bourse, Chavez said, without providing the location.
“The Public Bond Market has been born as a product of the terminal crisis of Venezuelan capitalism,” he said from the Miraflores presidential palace.
To contact the reporters on this story: Daniel Cancel in Caracas at dcancel@bloomberg.net. Charlie Devereux in Caracas at cdevereux3@bloomberg.net
To contact the editor responsible for this story: David Papadopoulos at papadopoulos@bloomberg.net
Tuesday, November 9, 2010
Monday, November 8, 2010
Friday, November 5, 2010
CVH long entry
Thursday, November 4, 2010
FCX and SNDK entries
Overall a nice day of gains for everything since the market pushed up well. Best overall day ive had in a while. Keep on going rally! And when youre done ill look for an hourly trend!
Wednesday, November 3, 2010
Tuesday, November 2, 2010
ESRX, HAR long entries
Overall a decent day of gains. Still buying breakouts along with daily market uptrend. Trend might change soon after the election but maybe not. Ill bob when i have to.
Monday, November 1, 2010
LLL exit
Thursday, October 28, 2010
AMD long entry ..............MOT wtf?
Wednesday, October 27, 2010
MCK entry......IXG and PXP cancelled
I cancelled IXG and PXP for small losses since, after what feels like forever, they have done nothing.
Tuesday, October 26, 2010
Entries, exits, daytrades
Gained .18% in a daytrade with ADM.
Lost .3% in a daytrade with AKS.
Gained 4.4% in a position trade with CMCSA.
Lost.13% in a daytrade with AET.
Entered RIMM for a position trade.
Today:
Gained 8.5% in position trade for RIMM.
Lost 1.6% in a daytrade for AEP. (1 min charts are dumb)
Gained .17% in a daytrade for A.
Hitting 50% probability just with these trades. I have had several gains just before this also, so really its well above 50% over the past week or so. The best part is....i think i know how to avoid the losses i took in the last 2 days. My mistakes were either not have consilidation (not having a pattern b/o) or not trading with a sold market trend (strong EMA's and steep TL). ALL my gains have those two things.
Trading on 1 min charts gets annoying and tedious, dont like it. i make mistakes and am forced to rush too often. but its good practice.
Wednesday, October 20, 2010
Good BAC daytrade
Tuesday, October 19, 2010
nice daytrade on 1 min chart with GT for a .58% gain
Monday, October 18, 2010
ADP, AMGN, CMCSA entries
made stop losses bigger AGAIN
i was gonna put an order in for $95 worth of GRYE but its moved up to .0177, to rich for me. ill wait for it to go back down to .005. currently im up about 500% on my original 6000 shares.....and i would sell them now and get back in but im scared that a giant pump could happen since there was a HUGE volume spike recently, very very huge.
i went ahead and put in limit buy orders for ADP, AMGN and CMCSA. ill see how they go when i wake up. goodnight self.
Thursday, October 14, 2010
Overall my trades hung in there today. FITB is the most questionable trade that i have. Overall my trades look good i think. Trying to figure out why IPI looks "really good" and i thought its 38% fib breakout was why but now i think its just lucky.
Thanks Gabriela for all your support.
Wednesday, October 13, 2010
Wondering if i should only enter stocks who's entry bars are showing even more strength or weakness than the market's bar. My best stocks ive held lately follow this, as well as my worst stocks lately dont follow it....hmmm......Ill keep trying to avoid my worst trades while targeting best trades the best i can.
Tuesday, October 12, 2010
cancelled AXP,HRB and made 3 daytrades
Made 3 daytrades for the hell of it. Not much research at all for them but 2 of 3 did well (-0.13%, +0.37%, +0.6%) on 1 minute charts. Still very boring to constantly monitor, but good for quick practice.
Most of my current holdings are longs and look ready to make me some decent money so i just need to monitor them each day and let the market do its thing over the next week or so.
Monday, October 11, 2010
No exits or stop outs today. My AXP and CMA trades look like they already ran their course but i placed my target lines just a little farther than i should have, so ill see if they retest their targets again. Overall my 9 trades look ok.
Friday, October 8, 2010
PXP, IPI, HRB long entries
Thursday, October 7, 2010
GE entry
Im also thinking the stochastics dip in GE is usually as good as it gets for these pattern/ema/TL breakouts.
so a weekly TL needs to be broken before entry and my target will be the next weekly hi/lo or 200 EMA, whichever is closer.
Tuesday, October 5, 2010
IXG, CMA,COF, ATVI,FITB entries
Exited CBD for a 3.9% gain, kind of a role model for my current trades on how they should act. BCS and DLB were stopped out for -2.5% and -3.2%, them and others i still have are going against the market but i want to let them get stopped out so i understand how the market will treat them better.
Monday, October 4, 2010
AXP short entry
Saturday, October 2, 2010
PRU entry
Tuesday, September 28, 2010
TWC and NAV entries
added TWC and NAV long entries. they follow my new requirement, the triple hitter, while using the next intermediate TL as reward. Still holding DBC and CS since they basically follow my triple hitter rule.
Triple-hitter: 20, 50 and 200 EMA's need to be broken through, preferably all by one large bar.
My triple hitter method seems to net 1:1 risk to reward but over time i will see if i should adjust that and place the stop a little closer to entry (somewhere inside entry bar). Im thinking i should wait to enter once the market makes a solid daily bar from a S/R line. Just blindly jumping it at the level to "get in early" seems kinda pointless for me.