There are 3 different stocks that I would buy in my 401k.
A total bond market fund- rising
A total stock market fund- peak
Cameron stock (oil ind.)- valley
I will keep buying cameron until the total stock market fund drops about 40% or so. then i will buy that. I will sell CAM when it is atleast $90 since im buying it around $45.
I will try to constantly buy low and only sell high. Im not sure what I will buy if all 3 are high but maybe I could add a 4th, the stable value fund.
Wish I could buy the euro, its at 12 year lows today, dang.
The euro is almost equal to the usd. This has happened from the perfect storm of a crash in oil prices, problems with greece and ukraine, ecb will buy over a trillion in bonds, currently a strong-sounding american economy with low unemployment (also cuz of low oil prices, even with layoffs in the oil industry). Buy eur/usd like a maniac if u can. there is no fundamental change anywhere, just a big hiccup from the oil sell-off and thats almost over.
Buy at 1.10 or lower, could sell at 1.50 within within a few years if u want to wait that long.
Too many people are interested in startups, or new companies. There is excess money and time.
Im hearing about buyouts and mergers everyday. 10 yr and 30 yr bonds look great to buy. I think they are basically at their bottom, wish I had a load of cash to throw at them. Oil wants to trade up but typical 3rd world issues are slowing it down. Apple and cigna, my insurer, are both at the moon right now. Apple is putting a lot of effort to keep people talking about them, im assuming because someone wants to cash out as high as possible. The ceo of cigna already cashed out to pocket nearly $30mil. Damn. Overall equity is a little trendless. The news stories are rediculous and that is telling me selling will start soon. Llamas running loose in arizona, everyone arguing over the colors of a dress. I think the selling could start after tax season and when gas prices go back up.
Im hearing things that only happen when the economy has topped off and is ready to crash. The ceo of Disney made almost $47 mil last year which was 35% higher than the year before. Im pretty sure the crash in oil prices officially put us in a recesion, at a time when the rest of the world has been slowing down a lot. Europe's eurozone is in trouble as usual. They might lose greece but gain ukraine, which putin and the russian/ukrainian mobs are busy making plans for. India and china have slowed down. Japan is in a good position since oil is way down and when japan is doing good, you know something is wrong. All that plus it is Obama's last year, so it would make sense to me if the stock market crashed (while a lame duck democrat prez is in office) just in time for a heroic republican to get elected and save us from the recession purely caused by the evil democrats. Im thinking a stock sell off starting in 2015. 2015 is a year to plan purchases. My company, wealthy businessmen, everybody, including myself should buy things we need this year. I want to save up money for trading but at the moment I am thinking about getting into a house and a newer car. Mortgage rates will stay low from the low oil price/recession going on and maybe I can get a good deal on the cadillac I want when people stop buying cars.
Lately I have seen articles refer to 'bad numbers' being reached for the first time since 2008 or 2009, the financial crisis. I feel like we are about halfway through a recession right now even though noone is talking about it. Maybe the stock market will drop more this summer and then people will call it a crash of 2015, oil supply crisis or something. I would call it On Sale. Im putting 6% of my income to my 401k and cameron is matching another 9%, all going into cameron stock currently 40% off its high,and that will be the extent of my trading for a while until I can save up money again.
