sfsamperi.blogspot.com

You have to survive

You have to survive
Every day is a battle, survival is rule #1

Wednesday, November 25, 2015

When will the market have its black friday sale?

I only want to buy low and sell high.  The stuff Im watching for long term trades is not low enough yet.  I need more time to save up money anyways but soon I will need something to fall off a cliff and move sideways endlessly with little volatility.  Thats when you get in before it pops up.

I need something to die.

Sunday, November 15, 2015

Retail

Pretty sure i would buy walmart and cvs soon.  Good companies in a routine industry selloff.

I guess they will basically statt the overall market selloff i have been waiting for.  Low oil prices have delayed the selloff.  But now numbers are looking bad even though oil is low.

Friday, November 13, 2015

Nordstrom hit hard by fear

Stock dropped 20% when their q3 earnings was down.

Its only considered bad compared to what analysts expected.  I would buy it if it dropped another 20%

I would buy walmart below $50

Certain Retailers are falling hard.

The overall market is down almost 3% since wed.

Wednesday, November 4, 2015

HFT

High-frequency trader convicted in first U.S. spoofing case

By Tom Polansek

CHICAGO (Reuters) - A jury on Tuesday convicted high-frequency trader Michael Coscia of commodities fraud and "spoofing", in the U.S. government's first criminal prosecution of the banned trading practice.

The verdict may energize prosecutors to pursue market manipulation cases and spur some high-speed traders to review their strategies, in which orders are sometimes executed or canceled within milliseconds after they are entered.

"This is the clarity that people have been looking for - what exactly is spoofing, what defines it," said Trace Schmeltz, an attorney specializing in white-collar crime at law firm Barnes & Thornburg who was not involved in the case.

Coscia, owner of New Jersey-based Panther Energy Trading, was accused of entering large orders into futures markets in 2011 that he never intended to execute. His goal, prosecutors said, was to lure other traders to markets by creating an illusion of demand so that he could make money on smaller trades, a practice known as spoofing.

Steven Peikin, a lawyer for Coscia, said he was disappointed by the verdict.

"We believe this case presents many novel and complex issues, and Mr. Coscia intends to pursue all of his legal options," Peikin said. ‎

Coscia took the stand in his own defense to deny wrongdoing. He testified that he intended to trade every order that he entered.

Prosecutors said he illegally earned $1.4 million in fewer than three months in 2011 through spoofing.

“The defendant’s trading activities disrupted the markets in his favor and against legitimate traders and investors,” said Zachary Fardon, U.S. Attorney for the Northern District of Illinois.

The trial spanned seven days, but the jury in Chicago convicted Coscia on six counts of commodities fraud and six counts of spoofing, all of the charges he had faced, after deliberating for just about an hour.

Each count of commodities fraud carries a maximum sentence of 25 years in prison and a $250,000 fine. Each count of spoofing carries a maximum sentence of 10 years in prison and a $1 million fine.

A sentencing hearing was set for next year.

The verdict came as futures traders and executives from around the world gathered in Chicago for an annual industry conference.

“Investors are better off when spoofers who prey on high-frequency traders are brought to justice," said Bill Harts, chief of the Modern Markets Initiative, a group representing high-frequency and algorithmic traders.

Coscia's firm had fewer than 10 employees. However, he "entered more large orders than anyone else in the world" in nearly a dozen CME Group Inc (NASDAQ: CME) markets ranging from corn and soybeans to gold after he began using two algorithmic trading programs in August 2011, prosecutors said during the trial. [nL1N12U22X]

Coscia also traded in markets run by Intercontinental Exchange (NYSE: ICE)

CME and ICE declined to comment on the verdict.

Coscia's prosecution was the first under an anti-spoofing provision that was added to the Commodity Exchange Act by the 2010 Dodd-Frank financial reform.

In April, the U.S. Justice Department and the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission brought criminal and civil spoofing charges against Navinder Sarao, a London-based trader accused of market manipulation that contributed to the May 2010 "flash crash." Sarao has denied the allegations.

Coscia's case is U.S. v. Coscia, 14-cr-00551, U.S. District Court, Northern District of Illinois.

 

 

 

But what?  Why are they acting like spoofing is a new thing.  Isn’t that one of the old typical methods of market manipulation?  I guess its order demand manipulation which did not really exist prior to electronic trading and not even legally referred to until 2010.  I guess Coscia went overboard and ‘ruined’ it for all the other illegitimate traders.  Just buy low and sell high at major S/R like everyone else….such a dummy.  That’s what he gets for trading based on greed instead of fun.  Maybe he can whip everyone in prison into trading-shape like that horribly cheesy 80’s movie Buy and Cell.  I haven’t even seen it yet because it sounds so bad.  Maybe one day.

 

Tuesday, November 3, 2015

WFM

Whole Foods - WFM

The company's financial performance is one of the envies of the grocery industry. Its sales per square foot in the last quarter were $990, which is thought to be among the highest in the industry. (Trader Joe's sales per square foot are thought to be much higher, but the privately held company does not report such data.)

Whole Foods also has strong enough cash flow to finance new store development without resorting to borrowing, and almost no debt. That, combined with its low stock price, has made it a target of takeover rumors.

 

Its stock was hitting $60 back in march 2015, right now its at $30.  Great company at half off.  Its low like the rest of the grocery store industry, but it’s a solid business.  Good time to start buying it.  I doubt it will drop lower than $20 but could easily slip to $25 depending on the news.  A takeover would speed up the stock price recovery, even better.  That’s the situation im in with CAM.

 

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Monday, November 2, 2015

Oil

Russia is now producing a record number of barrels of oil.  Saudi Arabia has been producing a high number for a while now.  Both are hurting from the low oil prices they are creating.  Im taking advantage of it.

Im still buying cameron, soon to be Schlumburger, stock. Im basically buying slb at a bottom, so thats nice.  Slb below $80 is good considering they were $120 ish a year ago.  Ill keep buying my oil company until the market crashes.  People are nervous as hell but it has popped back up near all time highs.  Im not sure when the stock market will be -40% or more from its peak but I know its coming.  Im looking forward to getting nasdaq or sp500 emini futures and using that leverage.  Maybe when oil goes back up, that will create a selloff.  It could be the oil glut crash.

Lame duck president

There is usually some kind of overvaluation that collapses and gets blamed for a stock market crash.

What will be Obama's?