sfsamperi.blogspot.com

You have to survive

You have to survive
Every day is a battle, survival is rule #1

Thursday, October 29, 2015

Gopro

They had a solidly bad q3 earnings report which made the stock price tank 16%

Wednesday, October 28, 2015

Anthony Robbins

He has good quotes.

We have plenty of information, but we are desperate for wisdom.

Sir John Templeton made his money during maximum pessimism.

People think good things will last forever.  People think bad things will last forever.

Tuesday, October 27, 2015

Jet blue

JetBlue Airways Corp (JBLU.O) said Tuesday it will make less money per mile in October than it did a year ago, sending its stock into a tailspin as investors fretted that sales would slow after bucking industry declines.

Shares fell as much as 9 percent even as third-quarter profit more than doubled from a year earlier to $198 million, beating estimates.

More nervousness.  A big crash must be coming soon.  People are selling on good news!

Twitter

I have no clue why anyone uses it but twitter is a big internet site.

Their q3 report was basically good but since it wasnt amazing like how the analysts predicted, the stock tanked 13%.

People are stupid, and scared. 

Nervousness

Alibaba has a good report, they jump up 8%.

Ford has a slightly bad report, they fall 5%.

The share price movements are because of fickle demand, not changes in valuation of the companies.

Sunday, October 25, 2015

Pboc

Since the peoples bank of china lowered their interest rate to stimulate their stock market, a few big name stocks pushed up around 8-10%

One article said the market 'went wild', but overall its been a small up day.  Excitement over nothing.

Sp500 is almost back to its all time highs, filling the 10% drop.  Probably gearing up for another big drop since people have no stable confidence.

SAMA

"Fund managers we’ve spoken to estimate SAMA has pulled out between $50 billion to $70 billion from global asset managers over the past six months," Nigel Sillitoe, chief executive officer of the Dubai-based firm, said by telephone Monday. "Saudi Arabia is withdrawing funds because it’s trying to cut its widening deficit and it’s financing the war in Yemen," he said, declining to name the fund managers.

Saudi Arabia is seeking to halt the erosion of its finances after oil prices halved in the past year. The Saudi Arabian Monetary Authority’s reserves held in foreign securities have fallen about 10 percent from a peak of $737 billion in August 2014, to $661 billion in July, according to central bank data. The government is accelerating bond sales to help sustain spending.

If the sama pulls out a lot more to keep surviving low oil prices from their desperate attempt to keep market share by overproducing oil, we might be able to blame them for a market crash.  They could get themselves in so much trouble that they have to sell so many assets, starting a panic selloff.

Thursday, October 22, 2015

Micky D's

I just realized food related stocks are getting the spotlight right now.

Mcdonald's shot up 8%, hit all time highs, from a good report.

Just more nervous volatility.  People are throwing their money at anything positive.  What kind of morons buy at all time highs? Mcdonalds is already everywhere....are they going to double their profit from selling mcmuffins all day?  Stupidly done

Tuesday, October 20, 2015

Colonel Sanders

KFC owner Yum Brands Inc (YUM.N) said it plans to split off its China business, which has been besieged by food scandals and marketing missteps, bowing to pressure from an activist shareholder.  Yum's shares rose 4 percent on Tuesday.  Yum China will operate as a publicly traded company and become a franchisee of Yum Brands in mainland China, paying the parent a percentage of its sales for exclusive rights to three of the company's brands - KFC, Pizza Hut and Taco Bell.  The split will allow Yum Brands to focus on reenergizing its stagnating business in the United States as well as expand in emerging markets such as India. It will also give shareholders a steady stream of income from royalties while allowing Yum to take lease obligations off its balance sheet.

"The separation of these two businesses gives shareholders the choice to own a growing annuity-like franchise cash flow stream, as well as the leading restaurant concept in a country with the fastest-growing consumer class," activist investor Keith Meister told Reuters in an email.  Meister, a protege of billionaire investor Carl Icahn, had been pushing for a reorganization for many months and was appointed to Yum's board last week. His hedge fund Corvex Management owns nearly 5 percent of the company.  The China business, which contributed 57 percent to Yum's total revenue, will be headquartered in Shanghai. Sales in the business have fallen in the past four of the five quarters.  The company cut its full-year profit forecast on Oct. 6 due to weak sales in China, sending its shares crashing 19 percent on that day.  "Yum Brands is being tainted by the China business, so Yum Brands will trade at a higher multiple because it's a better business now that it's not attached to Yum China," Hedgeye Risk Management analyst Howard Penney said.  Investors will now look for details on the royalty rate Yum Brands will charge the China business, and how it will lever up its balance sheet and spend the new pot of cash.  Yum said on Tuesday it was on track to open about 700 new restaurants in China this year with a target of opening over 20,000 restaurants in the future.

CHINA WOES

Yum Brands entered China in 1987 through its KFC brand, making it one of the first U.S. fast-food chains to set up operations there.  For years, the China business took the lead in driving sales for the company as a growing middle class frequented the restaurants that customized menus for the Chinese palate.  Sales have, however, faltered in the past several quarters as the business was hit by a scandal over expired meat from a supplier.  The Pizza Hut brand has been hit particularly hard due to missteps such as promoting a premium-priced steak dish as the China economy softened and due to local businesses cutting back on parties and events. Yum is also struggling to gain ground from a growing number of food delivery apps from Chinese internet firms such as Baidu Inc's (BIDU.O) Waimai and Alibaba-linked (BABA.N) Meituan that offer cheaper meal delivery deals.

 

 

China = growth/scandal trap
China is just not worth the trouble for many companies.

Monday, October 19, 2015

Weight watchers

Oprah bought 10% of WW plus options to buy anothet 5%. 

The stock went up 85%.

This is rediculous  :-D

Friday, October 16, 2015

America's playground

Wal-mart dropped 10% after a bad outlook was released for next year.

Sounds like retailers will be hit hard in this selloff. No mercy.

Meanwhile im checking couch cushions for anything I can include in my next futures trade.  Hopefully I can borrow 5-20k to add to my own money.  That way I can get my account close to $70k within a few years, even after paying generous interest. 

Monday, October 12, 2015

Wtf was going on with finance in medeival italy?

Italy was the most advanced of europe, far behind iraq. 
The Catholic church surpressed a lot, especially by not allowing their people to charge interest on loans.  Venice had jews who were forced to live in an out of sight gheto but were allowed to charge interest to the catholics.  The jews at the time were only supposed to charge interest to gentiles so it worked out, but wtf?  It sounds so silly today.

But then the ruthless Medici crime family created the first bank, then they got super rich trading currencies and were more legitamit from then on.

Friday, October 9, 2015

T rowe price

My 401k provider sent me an email about a live broadcast which will be about the status and health of the stock market.  There would be a group of guys speaking.  They were financial planners and market strategists, including a few CFA's.  No traders.  Noone who earned money directly from making accurate bets on markets.  Boring.  I dont care to hear more about spending less/diversifying.  They make money by giving advice to people who cant count.

Monday, October 5, 2015

Government is ready but clueless

Current and former government officials at a Federal Reserve Bank of Boston conference agreed that US financial regulators can't be expected to prevent another financial crisis like the one that hit in 2008, because they don't know yet what they need to do.

I guess they will never know what to do.  Proactivity Is still a guessing game in my age.  But that might be what gives me opportunity.

Friday, October 2, 2015

African exchanges

At the moment there are 29 stock exchanges in Africa.  20 of them were started in the 1990's or later. only 3 have over 100 listings and several have less than 20 listings.  Better extremely slow, non-lucrative and late than never.

There is financial news in africa, mostly with egypt, nigeria and south africa but noone cares.